top of page


Prediction: What Will Have Changed on Monday, September 22, 2025
For years the West has debated the Ukraine war in terms of limits: containment, off-ramps, appeasement, “not losing.” What will have...
john raymond
Sep 182 min read


Day 242: Targeted Reprisals and the Weakness of Trump 2.0
From Colbert to Kimmel, from the CDC to ICE, from Voice of America to universities and every institution in between, the Trump 2.0...
john raymond
Sep 182 min read


Open Letter to the Workers of Corrupt Corporations
The suspension of Jimmy Kimmel and the circumstances surrounding Stephen Colbert are not isolated scandals. They are bellwethers of what...
john raymond
Sep 181 min read


The Age of European Humility Is Over
Power politics at this stage of the war must be read not through diplomatic euphemism but through the primal logic of the schoolyard. The...
john raymond
Sep 172 min read


The British Crown Is Once More an Enemy of a Free America
The images from Windsor Castle are unambiguous: King Charles III and Queen Camilla, surrounded by ceremony and military honors, chose to...
john raymond
Sep 172 min read


Stop Waiting for the Epstein List: We Already Know Enough
For years the public has been told to “wait for the Epstein client list.” We must now treat that that day as not coming. The Department...
john raymond
Sep 172 min read


Civil War Is Not Romantic and Anyone Selling It Such Cannot Be Trusted
War is not a test of virtue or a rite of passage; it is an industrialized ruin of bodies, homes, and futures. Anyone who sells a romantic...
john raymond
Sep 163 min read


Vitamin R: The Epstein Blackmail Equilibrium as Strategy
The Epstein file is not simply a liability for President Trump—it is also his core strategic asset. Its utility is not in release, but in...
john raymond
Sep 162 min read


Power, Time, and Collapse — Three Interlocking Predictions
The task of analytic courage is to predict the future, and to do so in a way that is precise enough to be falsifiable. The framework I...
john raymond
Sep 163 min read


Convergence With My Frame: Vindman’s Essay as Outcomes-Based Confirmation
Alexander S. Vindman’s Bluesky post and linked essay converge with my analytic frame. He does not assert “asset” language, but his...
john raymond
Sep 153 min read


The Billionaire Thought Police and the Fight for Freedom
I have argued that egregious acts from agencies like ICE under Trump 2.0 were never about law enforcement. They were a prototype for...
john raymond
Sep 153 min read


Paul Warburg on Unlearning the Myth of Russian Invincibility
Paul Warburg dismantles the myth of Russian invincibility , specifically the idea that the Russian population will endure infinite...
john raymond
Sep 153 min read


Unlearning the Myth of “Ineffable Times”
The claim that “these are ineffable times” is a lie of convenience. It disguises uncertainty, confusion, or ignorance as some mystical...
john raymond
Sep 152 min read


Vitamin R: Elon Musk and the Oligarchic Prerogative
Vlad Vexler’s latest intervention is characteristically sharp . He isolates the danger of Musk’s statement at the Robinson...
john raymond
Sep 143 min read


Trump’s “Letter” and the Continuation of Moral Inversion
President Trump’s Truth Social “letter” to NATO leaders over sanctions and tariffs is not policy—it is sabotage disguised as leadership....
john raymond
Sep 133 min read


William Spaniel Once Again Explains What, But Not Why
William Spaniel’s analysis of Eastern Sentry is emblematic of his broader style: careful enumeration of facts, timelines, and tactical...
john raymond
Sep 132 min read


Part 2: Why the Rich and Powerful Push Toxic Masculinity
The crisis of men is not the result of organic cultural drift, nor is toxic masculinity simply a product that happens to “sell.” It is a...
john raymond
Sep 133 min read


Vitamin R: Vexler Is Right, There Is a Crisis of Men
Vxler is right, there is a crisis here. But the crisis of men is not fundamentally about identity or cultural scripts; it is about...
john raymond
Sep 133 min read


Poland’s NATO Problem: The Security Theater Paradox at Work
Poland today stands at the epicenter of a corrosive paradox in European security: while attempting to defend itself and demonstrate...
john raymond
Sep 123 min read


Trump’s Giddiness Fades: Why He Can’t Use Kirk’s Death for His Mythos
When the news first broke of Charlie Kirk’s murder, President Trump was visibly giddy. He immediately saw an opportunity: a loyalist...
john raymond
Sep 122 min read
bottom of page


