top of page


Dear Vlad Vexler, I Disagree—the Vance Question Is Not Closed
Vlad Vexler’s assertion that “Vance would be worse than Trump” treats an open strategic question as closed. Under the Raymond Method,...
john raymond
Sep 14 min read


When the President Disappears: Bounding the Trump Hiatus
Framing the Problem President Trump has now gone five consecutive days without a real on-camera appearance. This is not mere trivia. When...
john raymond
Sep 13 min read


The Bottom Line: Trump and Vance Are Desperate to Not Look Like Russian Assets to Europeans
Vice President JD Vance publicly labeled Felicia Schwartz’s reporting on special envoy Steve Witkoff “journalistic malpractice” and, more...
john raymond
Aug 304 min read


The Reddit Owners Hostile to Anti-Trump Narratives Cannot Contain the Tide
Banning a messenger does not erase a message that fits the facts. After my account u/johnrraymond stopped posting on Reddit—unjustly...
john raymond
Aug 304 min read


Vitamin R: JD Vance’s Tactical Lie: Inversion Before the Storm
Vlad Vexler is absolutely correct in calling out JD Vance’s intimidation of journalists as Russian-style politics of enemies. But there...
john raymond
Aug 302 min read


Unlearning Helplessness: The First Work of Heroes
The most dangerous lie the enemy has sown is not in its propaganda or its armies, but in the mind of the people who would resist. That...
john raymond
Aug 293 min read


The Paradox Facing Gavin Newsom
Governor Gavin Newsom’s recent actions embodies a paradox that he himself must resolve, and that the Democratic Party and the American...
john raymond
Aug 292 min read


The Thornbush of Regime Security: Seeing the Darker Putin
Vlad Vexler’s latest analysis of the missile strikes on the British Council and EU offices in Kyiv rightly sees them as deliberate acts...
john raymond
Aug 292 min read


Here Is the Perfect Example of Why The Military Show on Youtube Is Dogshit
The Military Show’s latest video on Ukraine’s EU accession illustrates, in perfect clarity, why their channel does not qualify as...
john raymond
Aug 292 min read


Jake Broe Is Right to Be Disgusted, But His Post-Alaska Analysis Doesn’t Quite Cut Deep Enough
Jake Broe rightly identified that the Alaska meeting between President Trump and President Putin included deeply repugnant...
john raymond
Aug 283 min read


The Exhaustion Strategy: When the CDC Becomes the Target
The pace of targeted reprisals under this administration has reached a level where even the most diligent observer can hardly keep up......
john raymond
Aug 282 min read


How We Know Gavin Newsom Is Right About Trump Wanting to Be President Beyond 2028: A Structural Empiricist’s Understanding of Trump Explains All
Governor Gavin Newsom is correct: President Trump is maneuvering to remain in power beyond the 2028 election. This is not speculation,...
john raymond
Aug 282 min read


MeidasTouch Brushes the Truth: But Have They Really Seen Trump’s Role as Putin’s Traitor-General?
In their latest broadcast, MeidasTouch drew a sharp juxtaposition: as Russia rained down 629 missiles and drones on Ukraine—striking...
john raymond
Aug 283 min read


Discussion and Conclusion: Fight the War You Are In
War is never entirely new, and never entirely old. Every conflict carries constants that stretch back through history, and every...
john raymond
Aug 283 min read


Methods: The New Center of Gravity in the West
Purpose and Design This section specifies, in disciplined terms, how the alliance will understand the adversary and constrain sabotage...
john raymond
Aug 285 min read


Heather Cox Richardson Is a Byzantine General and She Doesn’t Even Know It
The Byzantine Generals Problem (BGP) is one of the most powerful metaphors in modern mathematics and computer science. It describes the...
john raymond
Aug 272 min read


When the Batshit Insanity Becomes a Loyalty Test
The spectacle of President Trump’s rhetoric has long been misread. To those outside the cult, his most outrageous claims—whether...
john raymond
Aug 272 min read


Instead of Muting You, My Private Addon Marks You With a Poop Emoji
On Bluesky, the official options for handling people you don’t want in your feed are block and mute. Both are crude instruments. A block...
john raymond
Aug 272 min read


Day 219: 33 People in 7 Days—How the Targeted Reprisal Phase Has Begun in Ernest
On Day 212 I warned that a dangerous new phase of this presidency had begun. I called it the “targeted looting phase.” In truth, that...
john raymond
Aug 272 min read


The Faustian Bargain That Leads to Hobbesian Choices, and What to Do About Them — Trump, Farage, and Why the Elites Hate Mandani
The Structure of Betrayal Modern politics confounds many citizens. How, after repeated exposures of corruption, dishonesty, and...
john raymond
Aug 273 min read
bottom of page


